Ship Predictions & Odds· 140 markets
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$109k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$109k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
2%
Yes
How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?
$17k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$17k Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
57%
<2
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
$83k Vol.
$37k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$83k Vol.$37k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
60%
April 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$98k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$98k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
5%
March 30
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$36k Liq.
2
Ends in about 9 hours
$64k Vol.$36k Liq.2Ends in about 9 hours
98%
<5
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$414 Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$414 Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
19%
April 5
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$439k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ended
$439k Vol.$35k Liq.Ended
54%
15-19
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$16k Liq.Ended
48%
25-29
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$132k Liq.
🔥$179k today
122
Ends in about 9 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$179k today$132k Liq.122Ends in about 9 hours
29%
April 30
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?
$50k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in about 9 hours
$50k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
$129k Vol.
$27k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$27k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.5m Vol.
$117k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.5m Vol.$117k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
$515k Vol.
$69k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$515k Vol.$69k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
$9k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$9k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 15 days
32%
Yes
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
$196k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$196k Vol.$56k Liq.Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
North Korea missile test/launch by March 31?
$26k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$26k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
4%
Yes
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$78k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 15 days
51%
April 15
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
$60k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$60k Vol.$17k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes
US x China Military clash before 2027?
$53k Vol.
$21k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$53k Vol.$21k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
$90k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$90k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes