China Predictions & Odds· 183 markets

Will Trump visit China by...?
$17.9m Vol.
$4.4m Liq.
🔥$3.2m today
424
Ends in about 1 month
$17.9m Vol.🔥$3.2m today$4.4m Liq.424Ends in about 1 month
84%
June 30

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$359k today$536k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
$10.6m Vol.
$3.9m Liq.
🔥$192k today
Ends in about 16 hours
$10.6m Vol.🔥$192k today$3.9m Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
0%
Yes

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$88k Liq.
🔥$60k today
Ends in 3 months
$1.9m Vol.🔥$60k today$88k Liq.Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes

U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
$1.2m Vol.
$56k Liq.
28
Ends in about 16 hours
$1.2m Vol.$56k Liq.28Ends in about 16 hours
97%
5–15%

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
$107k Vol.
$181k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
$107k Vol.$181k Liq.Ends in 6 months
7%
Yes

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.4m Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$82k Liq.Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes

China x Japan military clash before 2027?
$514k Vol.
$69k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$514k Vol.$69k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
$931k Vol.
$72k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$931k Vol.$72k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$60k Vol.
$15k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$60k Vol.$15k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
52%
Yes

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
$734k Vol.
$38k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$734k Vol.$38k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes

US x China Military clash before 2027?
$52k Vol.
$30k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$52k Vol.$30k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
$193k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$193k Vol.$56k Liq.Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes

China coup attempt before 2027?
$111k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$111k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
$152k Vol.
$207k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
$152k Vol.$207k Liq.Ends in almost 2 years
21%
Yes

People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?
$116k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in about 16 hours
$116k Vol.$4k Liq.1Ends in about 16 hours
1%
Yes

Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?
$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
16
Ends in 3 months
$15k Vol.$3k Liq.16Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes

28%
-0.4 – 0.0%

Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
$3.3m Vol.
$146k Liq.
131
Ends in about 16 hours
$3.3m Vol.$146k Liq.131Ends in about 16 hours
2%
Brazil
