Iranian Leadership Regime Predictions & Odds· 127 markets
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$58.6m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$4.3m today
3
Ends in about 4 hours
$58.6m Vol.🔥$4.3m today$2.5m Liq.3Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$23.0m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$721k today
4
Ends in 3 months
$23.0m Vol.🔥$721k today$1.4m Liq.4Ends in 3 months
17%
Yes
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.3m Vol.
$355k Liq.
🔥$648k today
211
Ends in 1 day
$9.3m Vol.🔥$648k today$355k Liq.211Ends in 1 day
43%
June 30
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$13.1m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$416k today
Ends in about 1 month
$13.1m Vol.🔥$416k today$1.3m Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.3m Vol.
$238k Liq.
🔥$210k today
11
Ends in 9 months
$12.3m Vol.🔥$210k today$238k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$445k Vol.
$62k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$445k Vol.$62k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
84%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$29k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$29k Vol.$13k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
38%
Leadership Change
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.3m Vol.
$209k Liq.
🔥$123k today
887
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$123k today$209k Liq.887Ends in 9 months
49%
December 31
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
$12.5m Vol.
$443k Liq.
🔥$398k today
288
Ends in 3 months
$12.5m Vol.🔥$398k today$443k Liq.288Ends in 3 months
27%
December 31
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$807k Liq.
70
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$807k Liq.70Ends in 9 months
49%
Mojtaba Khamenei
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$733k Vol.
$85k Liq.
61
Ends in about 1 month
$733k Vol.$85k Liq.61Ends in about 1 month
9%
June 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$99k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$99k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
7%
March 30
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$102k Vol.
$13k Liq.
27
Ends in about 1 month
$102k Vol.$13k Liq.27Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 30
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$233k Vol.
$14k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
$233k Vol.$14k Liq.10Ends in about 1 month
8%
April 30
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
$339k Vol.
$19k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months
$339k Vol.$19k Liq.18Ends in 3 months
22%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$89k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$89k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
How many ships will Iran successfully target by March 31?
$64k Vol.
$34k Liq.
2
Ends in about 4 hours
$64k Vol.$34k Liq.2Ends in about 4 hours
98%
<5
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
$108k Vol.
$15k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$108k Vol.$15k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
$186k Vol.
$25k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$186k Vol.$25k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet on...?
$24k Vol.
$35 Liq.
43
Ends in about 4 hours
$24k Vol.$35 Liq.43Ends in about 4 hours
45%
Yes