Ayatollah Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.2m Vol.
$206k Liq.
🔥$118k today
885
Ends in 9 months
$5.2m Vol.🔥$118k today$206k Liq.885Ends in 9 months
53%
December 31
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?
$731k Vol.
$99k Liq.
62
Ends in about 1 month
$731k Vol.$99k Liq.62Ends in about 1 month
8%
June 30
What will Trump say in April?
$13k Vol.
$34k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$34k Liq.10Ends in about 1 month
90%
Operation Epic Fury
Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st?
$1.1m Vol.
$401k Liq.
47
Ends in about 13 hours
$1.1m Vol.$401k Liq.47Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
Iran leader end of 2026?
$5.6m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$1.0m Liq.71Ends in 9 months
45%
Mojtaba Khamenei
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
43%
April 30
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$466k Vol.
$77k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$466k Vol.$77k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
$841k Vol.
$91k Liq.
29
Ends in 9 months
$841k Vol.$91k Liq.29Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
34%
Leadership Change
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$96k Vol.
$46k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$96k Vol.$46k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
48%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.1m Vol.
$334k Liq.
🔥$107k today
10
Ends in 9 months
$12.1m Vol.🔥$107k today$334k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
35%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$56.4m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$2.5m today
2
Ends in about 13 hours
$56.4m Vol.🔥$2.5m today$1.6m Liq.2Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
$12.3m Vol.
$562k Liq.
🔥$272k today
295
Ends in 3 months
$12.3m Vol.🔥$272k today$562k Liq.295Ends in 3 months
27%
December 31
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$25k Vol.
$195k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$25k Vol.$195k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
63%
Military action through April 30
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$405k Vol.
$35k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$405k Vol.$35k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
81%
Yes
Gulf State military action against Iran by...?
$4k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
28%
April 30
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$9k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
73%
April 9
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
$339k Vol.
$19k Liq.
18
Ends in 3 months
$339k Vol.$19k Liq.18Ends in 3 months
22%
Yes
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$61k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$61k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
98%
March 28