Fed Chair Predictions & Odds· 121 markets
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$97k Vol.
$42k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$97k Vol.$42k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
52%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.7m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$361k today
72
Ends in 7 months
$15.7m Vol.🔥$361k today$1.8m Liq.72Ends in 7 months
96%
Kevin Warsh
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$435k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$435k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
54%
May 15
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.8m Vol.
$140k Liq.
36
Ends in about 1 month
$1.8m Vol.$140k Liq.36Ends in about 1 month
2%
May 14
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 3 months
94%
Thom Tillis
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$30k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$65k Vol.$30k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
3%
Yes
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
53%
>5%
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$211 Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$211 Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 9 months
34%
54
Parlays · Hide From New
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$40k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$40k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in 9 months
78%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
$145k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$145k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
100%
Yes
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$10k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
$10k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 29 days
51%
2
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$117k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$117k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31
Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
64%
June 30
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?
$48k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$48k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
Fed Decision in July?
$2.5m Vol.
$244k Liq.
🔥$289k today
Ends in 4 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$289k today$244k Liq.Ends in 4 months
78%
No change
Fed decision in April?
$38.5m Vol.
$3.4m Liq.
🔥$1.9m today
18
Ends in 29 days
$38.5m Vol.🔥$1.9m today$3.4m Liq.18Ends in 29 days
97%
No change
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$5.9m Vol.
$344k Liq.
🔥$369k today
8
Ends in 8 months
$5.9m Vol.🔥$369k today$344k Liq.8Ends in 8 months
34%
3.75%
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
$70k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$70k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
$1.3m Vol.
$242k Liq.
🔥$285k today
18
Ends in 9 months
$1.3m Vol.🔥$285k today$242k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
64%
↓ 3.25%