Fed Chair Predictions & Odds· 180 markets
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$96k Vol.
$46k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$96k Vol.$46k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
48%
US x Iran Ceasefire
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.6m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$432k today
72
Ends in 7 months
$15.6m Vol.🔥$432k today$1.9m Liq.72Ends in 7 months
96%
Kevin Warsh
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
$434k Vol.
$20k Liq.
11
Ends in about 2 months
$434k Vol.$20k Liq.11Ends in about 2 months
55%
May 15
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.8m Vol.
$167k Liq.
36
Ends in about 1 month
$1.8m Vol.$167k Liq.36Ends in about 1 month
2%
May 14
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?
$72k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$72k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 3 months
93%
Thom Tillis
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?
$65k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$65k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
3%
Yes
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
53%
>5%
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
$211 Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$211 Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 9 months
34%
54
Parlays · Hide From New
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair
$26k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$41k Liq.Ends in 9 months
78%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%
Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
$145k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in about 14 hours
$145k Vol.$12k Liq.2Ends in about 14 hours
100%
Yes
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?
$10k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$10k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 30 days
42%
2
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$117k Vol.
$20k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$117k Vol.$20k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31
Trump · Fed Rates
Trump drops Powell investigation by…?
$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
61%
June 30
Will Trump try to Fire Powell by March 31?
$48k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$48k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
0%
Yes
No
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$617.3m Vol.
$5k Liq.
2,002
Ends in 9 months
$617.3m Vol.$5k Liq.2,002Ends in 9 months
Kevin Warsh
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?
$2.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$2.0m Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
>5%
March 31