Congress Predictions & Odds· 1235 markets
Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?
$25k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 15 hours
$25k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in about 15 hours
0%
Yes
U.S. Congress member out over Epstein files by April 30?
$6k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$5k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
13%
Yes
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?
$92k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$92k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
0%
Yes
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?
$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$5k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
16%
Yes
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
$4k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 20 days
66%
Yes
How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?
$67k Vol.
$70k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months
$67k Vol.$70k Liq.5Ends in 5 months
56%
7
How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in March?
$25k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$25k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
62%
4
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
$133k Vol.
$56k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months
$133k Vol.$56k Liq.21Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
How many Republican House members not running in 2026?
$50k Vol.
$43k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
$50k Vol.$43k Liq.4Ends in 5 months
41%
36–39
Which bills will become law in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
66%
Housing for the 21st Century Act
How many pieces of legislation will Trump sign into law in April?
$12k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
57%
0
H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?
$26k Vol.
$95k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$26k Vol.$95k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
8%
June 30
How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?
$7k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
$7k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 5 months
32%
24–27
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$26k Liq.
5
Ends in 22 days
$229k Vol.$26k Liq.5Ends in 22 days
82%
Yes
Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?
$81k Vol.
$10k Liq.
6
Ends in about 15 hours
$81k Vol.$10k Liq.6Ends in about 15 hours
0%
Yes
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$79k Vol.
$68k Liq.
1
Ends in about 15 hours
$79k Vol.$68k Liq.1Ends in about 15 hours
14%
Catherine Cortez Masto
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
$26k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in almost 3 years
$26k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in almost 3 years
70%
Yes
27%
≤47