Scotus Predictions & Odds· 128 markets
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
$20k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$20k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
70%
Yes
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
$62k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in about 15 hours
$62k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in about 15 hours
98%
Yes
Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?
$25k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 15 hours
$25k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in about 15 hours
0%
Yes
55%
Yes
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$931k Vol.
$10k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$931k Vol.$10k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
56%
December 31
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$15k Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$15k Vol.$82k Liq.Ends in 4 months
68%
Yes
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
Supreme Court decides to hear Ghislaine Maxwell by September 30?
$971 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$971 Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
No
New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?
$200k Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended
$200k Vol.$0 Liq.26Ended
Yes
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs by...?
$831k Vol.
$0 Liq.
38
Ended
$831k Vol.$0 Liq.38Ended
February 20
Courts · SCOTUS
Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage in 2025?
$148k Vol.
$0 Liq.
14
Ended
$148k Vol.$0 Liq.14Ended
No
Yes
Supreme Court blocks order forcing Trump to rehire federal workers?
$122k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended
$122k Vol.$0 Liq.10Ended
Yes
SCOTUS · Trump
Supreme Court votes in favor of Trump absolute immunity?
$72k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$72k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
No
Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration?
$483k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
$483k Vol.$0 Liq.1Ended
No
No
