US Politics Predictions & Odds· 1973 markets
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.8m Vol.
$140k Liq.
36
Ends in about 1 month
$1.8m Vol.$140k Liq.36Ends in about 1 month
2%
May 14
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
$0 Vol.
$33k Liq.
2
Ends in over 2 years
$0 Vol.$33k Liq.2Ends in over 2 years
20%
Yes
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$210k Vol.
$26k Liq.
10
Ends in 7 months
$210k Vol.$26k Liq.10Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$473.4m Vol.
$30.1m Liq.
🔥$5.3m today
802
Ends in over 2 years
$473.4m Vol.🔥$5.3m today$30.1m Liq.802Ends in over 2 years
18%
JD Vance
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
$4.9m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$152k today
Ends in 9 months
$4.9m Vol.🔥$152k today$1.3m Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1.6m Vol.
$786k Liq.
63
Ends in over 2 years
$1.6m Vol.$786k Liq.63Ends in over 2 years
59%
Democratic
US x Russia military clash by...?
$583k Vol.
$22k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$583k Vol.$22k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$7.8m Vol.
$314k Liq.
🔥$357k today
158
Ends in 3 months
$7.8m Vol.🔥$357k today$314k Liq.158Ends in 3 months
69%
June 30
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.3m Vol.
$353k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$1.3m Vol.$353k Liq.Ends in 7 months
52%
Democratic Party
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.2m Vol.
$508k Liq.
137
Ends in 7 months
$4.2m Vol.$508k Liq.137Ends in 7 months
50%
Democrats Sweep
Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31?
$293k Vol.
$80k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$293k Vol.$80k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
2%
↓ 10%
27%
≤47
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$94k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$94k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
37%
December 31, 2026
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$110k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$110k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
31%
Below 190
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
$360k Vol.
$20k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$360k Vol.$20k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
83%
Not Extended & Democratic Party
2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?
$55k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$55k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other