Gov Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 195 markets

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$513k Vol.
$127k Liq.
🔥$171k today
Ends in about 1 month

40%

After April 30

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$1.6m Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

100%

After March 31

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

$1.1m Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ended

99%

48+ days

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$210k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 7 months

83%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?

Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days

40%

17.5-18m

Number of TSA Passengers March 29?

Number of TSA Passengers March 29?

$18k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ended

72%

2.6M-2.8M

Number of TSA Passengers March 27?

Number of TSA Passengers March 27?

$25k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ended

76%

2.6M-2.8M

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$34k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

1%

Yes

Number of TSA Passengers March 28?

Number of TSA Passengers March 28?

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended

52%

<2.6M

Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?

Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?

$20k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ended

91%

17.5-18m

Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

$16k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ended

96%

<6,000

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

$80k Vol.
$71k Liq.
1
Ends in about 13 hours

14%

Catherine Cortez Masto

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?

$807 Vol.
$147 Liq.
Ended

15%

Yes

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 29?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 29?

$620 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ended

1%

Yes

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?

$418 Vol.
$185 Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

28%

Yes

Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?

$399 Vol.
$823 Liq.
Ended

51%

6,500-7,000

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

$551k Vol.
$13k Liq.
26
Ends in about 13 hours

51%

December 31, 2026

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

41%

April 30

How long will the Government Shutdown last?

How long will the Government Shutdown last?

$2.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

5+ days