Gov Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 195 markets

When will the DHS shutdown end?
$513k Vol.
$127k Liq.
🔥$171k today
Ends in about 1 month
$513k Vol.🔥$171k today$127k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
40%
After April 30

When will the DHS shutdown end?
$1.6m Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$1.6m Vol.$65k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
100%
After March 31

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$210k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 7 months
$210k Vol.$24k Liq.10Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party

Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 6 days
40%
17.5-18m

72%
2.6M-2.8M

76%
2.6M-2.8M

1%
Yes

91%
17.5-18m

96%
<6,000

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$80k Vol.
$71k Liq.
1
Ends in about 13 hours
$80k Vol.$71k Liq.1Ends in about 13 hours
14%
Catherine Cortez Masto

1%
Yes

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?
$418 Vol.
$185 Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$418 Vol.$185 Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
28%
Yes

51%
6,500-7,000

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$551k Vol.
$13k Liq.
26
Ends in about 13 hours
$551k Vol.$13k Liq.26Ends in about 13 hours
51%
December 31, 2026

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
