Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 377 markets

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$34k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

1%

Yes

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$512k Vol.
$128k Liq.
🔥$179k today
Ends in about 1 month

29%

After April 30

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$1.6m Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

100%

After March 31

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

$1.1m Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ended

99%

48+ days

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$210k Vol.
$21k Liq.
10
Ends in 7 months

83%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

$15k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ended

99%

<6,000

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)

$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 6 days

73%

Peace Through Strength

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

$80k Vol.
$68k Liq.
1
Ends in about 13 hours

14%

Catherine Cortez Masto

Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?

Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days

38%

18-18.5m

Number of TSA Passengers March 29?

Number of TSA Passengers March 29?

$18k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ended

72%

2.6M-2.8M

Number of TSA Passengers March 27?

Number of TSA Passengers March 27?

$25k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ended

76%

2.6M-2.8M

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?

$807 Vol.
$142 Liq.
Ended

30%

Yes

Number of TSA Passengers March 28?

Number of TSA Passengers March 28?

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended

52%

<2.6M

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?

$418 Vol.
$191 Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

30%

Yes

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 29?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 29?

$483 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ended

2%

Yes

Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?

$349 Vol.
$858 Liq.
Ended

51%

6,500-7,000

Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?

Number of TSA passengers March 23 - March 29?

$20k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ended

91%

17.5-18m

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

$551k Vol.
$13k Liq.
26
Ends in about 13 hours

51%

December 31, 2026

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$374k Vol.
$24k Liq.
59

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?

Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19?

$276k Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended

No