Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 124 markets

1%
Yes

When will the DHS shutdown end?
$510k Vol.
$119k Liq.
🔥$229k today
Ends in about 1 month
$510k Vol.🔥$229k today$119k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
26%
After April 30

When will the DHS shutdown end?
$1.6m Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$1.6m Vol.$63k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
99%
After March 31

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$210k Vol.
$25k Liq.
10
Ends in 7 months
$210k Vol.$25k Liq.10Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party

0%
Paid a big price / Paying a big price

98%
<6,000

What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)
$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$7k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 6 days
74%
Happy Easter

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$79k Vol.
$72k Liq.
1
Ends in about 15 hours
$79k Vol.$72k Liq.1Ends in about 15 hours
14%
Catherine Cortez Masto

Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 6 days
39%
18-18.5m

65%
2.6M-2.8M

80%
2.6M-2.8M

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?
$418 Vol.
$117 Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$418 Vol.$117 Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
30%
Yes

1%
Yes

44%
6,500-7,000

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$551k Vol.
$13k Liq.
26
Ends in about 15 hours
$551k Vol.$13k Liq.26Ends in about 15 hours
51%
December 31, 2026

91%
17.5-18m

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
$41k Vol.
$7k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$41k Vol.$7k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes