Gov Shutdown Predictions & Odds· 615 markets
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$525k Vol.
$130k Liq.
🔥$63k today
Ends in about 1 month
$525k Vol.🔥$63k today$130k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
26%
After April 30
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$1.7m Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$1.7m Vol.$78k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
100%
After March 31
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
Number of TSA passengers March 30 - April 5?
$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$3k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 5 days
35%
17.5-18m
1%
Yes
0%
Yes
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$81k Vol.
$50k Liq.
1
Ends in about 5 hours
$81k Vol.$50k Liq.1Ends in about 5 hours
9%
Jacky Rosen
56%
5,500-6,000
Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?
$479 Vol.
$146 Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$479 Vol.$146 Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
18%
Yes
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$551k Vol.
$13k Liq.
28
Ends in about 5 hours
$551k Vol.$13k Liq.28Ends in about 5 hours
51%
December 31, 2026
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
16%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$854 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$854 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31, 2026
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
42%
160-179
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$154k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
$154k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 21 hours
72%
160-179
Recurring · Rewards Automation 50 4.5 50
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 3?
$896 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$896 Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 4 days
55%
26°C
Culture · Politics
Taliban blackmail of D.C. shooter confirmed by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 5 hours
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in about 5 hours
2%
Yes