Funding Bill Predictions & Odds· 166 markets
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?
$79k Vol.
$70k Liq.
1
Ends in about 14 hours
$79k Vol.$70k Liq.1Ends in about 14 hours
14%
Catherine Cortez Masto
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$510k Vol.
$126k Liq.
🔥$208k today
Ends in about 1 month
$510k Vol.🔥$208k today$126k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
26%
After April 30
When will the DHS shutdown end?
$1.6m Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$1.6m Vol.$64k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
99%
After March 31
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
48%
Yes
Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
$11k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
89%
Yes
Which bills will become law in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
67%
Housing for the 21st Century Act
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
$4k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 20 days
66%
Yes
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
$73k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$73k Vol.$6k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
44%
Yes
Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
$37k Vol.
$86k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$37k Vol.$86k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
52%
April 30
Senate Democratic votes for government funding bill?
$102k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$102k Vol.$0 Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
>10
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?
$178k Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended
$178k Vol.$0 Liq.13Ended
No
No Bill passed by Jan 31
January 25
Will the House vote on a government funding bill today?
$134k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
$134k Vol.$0 Liq.1Ended
Yes
How many U.S. House members vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?
$240k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
$240k Vol.$0 Liq.4Ended
221-222
How many U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30?
$120k Vol.
$0 Liq.
7
Ended
$120k Vol.$0 Liq.7Ended
60