Surveillance Predictions & Odds· 175 markets
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 20 days
$4k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 20 days
66%
Yes
Science · Pandemics
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
$7k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$7k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 4 days
96%
80–85
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$45k Liq.Ends in 3 months
28%
June 30
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
$51k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$51k Vol.$41k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
57%
June 30
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$25k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$25k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
47%
Yes
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
Science · Weather & Science
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 11, 2026?
$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$27k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
80–90