Surveillance Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$4k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 19 days
66%
Yes

Science · Pandemics
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
$8k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$8k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 3 days
96%
80–85

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in 3 months
28%
June 30

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
$52k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$52k Vol.$54k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
57%
June 30

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$25k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$25k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes

45%
Yes

17%
Isfahan nuclear facility

Epstein storage units raided in 2026?
$6k Vol.
$16k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$16k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30

Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$425 Liq.
2
Ends in about 7 hours
$3k Vol.$425 Liq.2Ends in about 7 hours
2%
Yes

Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$101k Vol.
$13k Liq.
27
Ends in about 1 month
$101k Vol.$13k Liq.27Ends in about 1 month
21%
April 30

1%
Yes

Epstein client list released by...?
$3.9m Vol.
$31k Liq.
667
Ends in 3 months
$3.9m Vol.$31k Liq.667Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes

Les Wexner arrested by March 31?
$20k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$20k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
0%
Yes

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$15k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$15k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$5k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$578 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$578 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
47%
60-79

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$22k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$22k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
28%
Yes

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 4 days
40%
60-79
