Science Predictions & Odds· 175 markets
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$21.7m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$208k today
815
Ends in 9 months
$21.7m Vol.🔥$208k today$1.3m Liq.815Ends in 9 months
17%
December 31
Rewards 20, 4.5, 50 · earthquake
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 23 - March 29?
$260k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ended
$260k Vol.$31k Liq.Ended
100%
2
NASA Artemis II
$697k Vol.
$26k Liq.
94
Ends in about 16 hours
$697k Vol.$26k Liq.94Ends in about 16 hours
83%
April 30
Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?
$384k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$384k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
0%
1600
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.5m Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7.5m Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 9 months
98%
↑2k
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
11–13
Measles · Pandemics
Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?
$27k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$27k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
90%
1800
Precipitation in Seattle in March?
$320k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$320k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
94%
5-6"
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$20k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$20k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
42%
1
Earthquakes · Science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?
$19k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$19k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 6 days
52%
0
Precipitation in NYC in March?
$172k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$172k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
90%
3-4"
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$347k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$347k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
38%
5-6
Major Space Weather event this week? (March 29 - April 4)
$7k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$7k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 5 days
98%
Yes
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$260k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$260k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$648k Vol.
$98k Liq.
8
Ends in almost 2 years
$648k Vol.$98k Liq.8Ends in almost 2 years
46%
2.0T+
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$207k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
$207k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 11 days
42%
1.25–1.29ºC
How many Tornadoes in the US in March?
$158k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
$158k Vol.$27k Liq.Ends in 11 days
100%
150+
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$168k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$168k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$122k Liq.
19
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$122k Liq.19Ends in 9 months
46%
2