Climate Science Predictions & Odds· 146 markets
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$3.9m Vol.
$183k Liq.
🔥$123k today
170
Ends in almost 2 years
$3.9m Vol.🔥$123k today$183k Liq.170Ends in almost 2 years
62%
Other
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
$2.9m Vol.
$221k Liq.
🔥$71k today
43
Ends in almost 2 years
$2.9m Vol.🔥$71k today$221k Liq.43Ends in almost 2 years
94%
1T+
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.5m Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7.5m Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 9 months
98%
↑2k
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.2m Vol.
$85k Liq.
16
Ends in almost 2 years
$1.2m Vol.$85k Liq.16Ends in almost 2 years
36%
Bank of America
NASA Artemis II
$697k Vol.
$26k Liq.
94
Ends in about 14 hours
$697k Vol.$26k Liq.94Ends in about 14 hours
83%
April 30
Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?
$385k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$385k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
1%
1600
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
11–13
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$21k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$21k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
43%
1
Precipitation in Seattle in March?
$321k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$321k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
94%
5-6"
Precipitation in NYC in March?
$172k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$172k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
90%
3-4"
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$348k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$348k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
36%
5-6
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$649k Vol.
$93k Liq.
8
Ends in almost 2 years
$649k Vol.$93k Liq.8Ends in almost 2 years
46%
2.0T+
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$891k Vol.
$122k Liq.
17
Ends in almost 2 years
$891k Vol.$122k Liq.17Ends in almost 2 years
94%
>$1T
Precipitation in Seoul in March?
$32k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$32k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
48%
40-45mm
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$208k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
$208k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 11 days
42%
1.25–1.29ºC
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$68k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$68k Liq.21Ends in 3 months
63%
8+
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$257k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$257k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$168k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$168k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$121k Liq.
19
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$121k Liq.19Ends in 9 months
46%
2