Pandemics Predictions & Odds· 195 markets
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.5m Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7.5m Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 9 months
98%
↑2k
Measles · Pandemics
Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?
$30k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$30k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
90%
1800
Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?
$386k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$386k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
1%
1600
health · Science
Nipah virus in US by March 31?
$45k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 11 hours
$45k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes
Science · Pandemics
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
$7k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$7k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in 3 days
96%
80–85
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
$95k Vol.
$828 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$95k Vol.$828 Liq.Ends in 9 months
39%
Yes
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
$229k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$229k Vol.$11k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
8%
Yes
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
China · global health
Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1?
$14k Vol.
$2 Liq.
2
Ended
$14k Vol.$2 Liq.2Ended
No
Science · Weather & Science
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 11, 2026?
$27k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$27k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
80–90