Weather Science Predictions & Odds· 294 markets
China · Hong Kong
Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?
$20k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$20k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
73%
150-160mm
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$123k Liq.
19
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$123k Liq.19Ends in 9 months
46%
2
Precipitation in Seattle in March?
$321k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$321k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
94%
5-6"
Precipitation in NYC in March?
$172k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$172k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
91%
3-4"
Weather · Precipitation
Precipitation in Seattle in April?
$4k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
54%
<2.5"
Weather · Science
Precipitation in NYC in April?
$698 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$698 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
43%
<2"
Hong Kong · China
Precipitation in Hong Kong in April?
$511 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$511 Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
30%
<130mm
Weather · Science
Major solar storm by April 30?
$11k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$1k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
6%
Yes
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$65k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$65k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in 2 months
100%
May 31
Earthquakes · Science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?
$37k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$37k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 6 days
48%
1
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.5m Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7.5m Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 9 months
98%
↑2k
Measles · Pandemics
Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?
$29k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
89%
1800
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
11–13
Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?
$386k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$386k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
1%
1600
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$22k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$22k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
43%
1
Precipitation in Seoul in March?
$32k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$32k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
45%
40-45mm
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$67k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.$67k Liq.21Ends in 3 months
64%
8+
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$208k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
$208k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 11 days
42%
1.25–1.29ºC
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$168k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$168k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$113k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$113k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes