Intelligence Predictions & Odds· 831 markets
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$4k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 19 days
65%
Yes
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$6k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$6k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
US forces enter Iran by..?
$53.9m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$7.9m today
5,020
$53.9m Vol.🔥$7.9m today$1.6m Liq.5,020
76%
December 31
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$346k Liq.
🔥$235k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$235k today$346k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
How many times will the US strike Somalia in March?
$768k Vol.
$98k Liq.
🔥$81k today
Ends in 4 days
$768k Vol.🔥$81k today$98k Liq.Ends in 4 days
96%
6-9
US strike on Cuba by...?
$2.8m Vol.
$70k Liq.
🔥$51k today
49
Ends in 9 months
$2.8m Vol.🔥$51k today$70k Liq.49Ends in 9 months
38%
December 31
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
$134k Vol.
$18k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
$134k Vol.$18k Liq.19Ends in 3 months
66%
Yes
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$109k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$109k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
2%
Yes
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
$234k Vol.
$43k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$234k Vol.$43k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
24%
April 30
US announces military support of Kurds by...?
$482k Vol.
$10k Liq.
40
Ends in about 1 month
$482k Vol.$10k Liq.40Ends in about 1 month
19%
April 30
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
$9k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$9k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 15 days
32%
Yes
28%
June 30
US strike on Mexico by...?
$3.2m Vol.
$69k Liq.
161
Ends in 9 months
$3.2m Vol.$69k Liq.161Ends in 9 months
24%
December 31
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$45k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$45k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
18%
Yes
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in 3 months
28%
June 30
22%
December 31
US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?
$232k Vol.
$15k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
$232k Vol.$15k Liq.10Ends in about 1 month
8%
April 30
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
$52k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$52k Vol.$41k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
57%
June 30
1%
Yes