Llm Predictions & Odds· 183 markets
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
$45k Vol.
$5k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$45k Vol.$5k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$15.9m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$260k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$15.9m Vol.🔥$260k today$1.8m Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
100%
Anthropic
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$800k Vol.
$150k Liq.
🔥$158k today
Ends in about 1 month
$800k Vol.🔥$158k today$150k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
83%
Anthropic
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.4m Vol.
$68k Liq.
🔥$106k today
25
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.🔥$106k today$68k Liq.25Ends in 3 months
28%
OpenAI
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$542k Vol.
$121k Liq.
2
Ends in about 13 hours
$542k Vol.$121k Liq.2Ends in about 13 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$1.0m Vol.
$114k Liq.
1
Ends in about 13 hours
$1.0m Vol.$114k Liq.1Ends in about 13 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
$2.7m Vol.
$442k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2.7m Vol.$442k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
89%
Anthropic
Which company has best AI model end of June?
$2.9m Vol.
$441k Liq.
63
Ends in 3 months
$2.9m Vol.$441k Liq.63Ends in 3 months
66%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$384k Vol.
$68k Liq.
2
Ends in about 13 hours
$384k Vol.$68k Liq.2Ends in about 13 hours
96%
Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
$525k Vol.
$95k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$525k Vol.$95k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
99%
Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
$620k Vol.
$106k Liq.
1
Ends in about 13 hours
$620k Vol.$106k Liq.1Ends in about 13 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the third best AI model end of April?
$87k Vol.
$93k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$87k Vol.$93k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
63%
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$12k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$62k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
$333k Vol.
$119k Liq.
52
Ends in 3 months
$333k Vol.$119k Liq.52Ends in 3 months
50%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$7k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
41%
Chatbot Arena: How high will AI score by December 31?
$66k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$66k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 9 months
61%
↑ 1550
Which company has the second best AI model end of April?
$12k Vol.
$93k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$93k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
80%
Anthropic
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$29k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
$475k Vol.
$173k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$475k Vol.$173k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
49%
Anthropic
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$32k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
44%
None in 2026