Gpt 5 Predictions & Odds· 166 markets

G
GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

$216k Vol.
$22k Liq.
40
Ended

83%

December 31, 2026

W
Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$3.0m Vol.
$376k Liq.
65
Ends in 3 months

65%

Anthropic

W
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

$926k Vol.
$174k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months

51%

Anthropic

O
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

$10k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

77%

Yes

W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

$252k Vol.
$2k Liq.
31
Ended

31%

Yes

G
GPT-5.5 released by...?

GPT-5.5 released by...?

$301k Vol.
$20k Liq.
4

93%

June 30

O
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

$3k Vol.
$800 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

49%

Yes

O
OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$18k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months

41%

60%+

G
Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

$130k Vol.
$5k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months

13%

Yes

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

$894 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 8 days

6%

Yes

C
ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$29k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

66%

April 17

5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$276k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

37%

Yes

C
Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

$1.9m Vol.
$55k Liq.
163
Ends in 28 days

56%

June 30, 2026

G
GPT-5.3 released by...?

GPT-5.3 released by...?

$278k Vol.
$0 Liq.
24
Ended

February 28

G
GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by...?

GPT-5 scores ≥ 70% on FrontierMath Benchmark by...?

$35k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended

December 31

G
GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

$76k Vol.
$0 Liq.
30
Ended

No

W
What day will GPT-5 be released…?

What day will GPT-5 be released…?

$2.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
330
Ended

August 7

G
GPT-5 released by…?

GPT-5 released by…?

$7.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,022
Ended

December 31

N
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

$169k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended

Yes

W
What will be said during OpenAI livestream on August 7?

What will be said during OpenAI livestream on August 7?

$65k Vol.
$0 Liq.
55
Ended

GPT 15+