Business Predictions & Odds· 1018 markets
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
$48k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$48k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
37%
Yes
Ex-FaZe members form new organization by March 31?
$160k Vol.
$6k Liq.
7
Ends in about 7 hours
$160k Vol.$6k Liq.7Ends in about 7 hours
1%
Yes
42%
Yes
Largest Company end of March?
$19.7m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$314k today
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$19.7m Vol.🔥$314k today$1.3m Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
100%
NVIDIA
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$14.7m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$275k today
58
Ends in 9 months
$14.7m Vol.🔥$275k today$1.2m Liq.58Ends in 9 months
35%
0 (0 bps)
52%
1.5T-2.0T
Largest Company end of April?
$850k Vol.
$290k Liq.
🔥$153k today
Ends in about 1 month
$850k Vol.🔥$153k today$290k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
94%
NVIDIA
2nd largest company end of March?
$2.7m Vol.
$470k Liq.
🔥$102k today
4
Ends in about 7 hours
$2.7m Vol.🔥$102k today$470k Liq.4Ends in about 7 hours
100%
Apple
IPOs before 2027?
$5.2m Vol.
$159k Liq.
🔥$60k today
3
Ends in 9 months
$5.2m Vol.🔥$60k today$159k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
93%
SpaceX
14%
December 31, 2026
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
$1.4m Vol.
$78k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$78k Liq.25Ends in 3 months
28%
OpenAI
How many Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?
$813k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$813k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
73%
350k–375k
US GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$226k Vol.
$24k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$226k Vol.$24k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
23%
2.5–3.0%
Largest Company end of June?
$3.6m Vol.
$417k Liq.
80
Ends in 3 months
$3.6m Vol.$417k Liq.80Ends in 3 months
76%
NVIDIA
Largest Company end of December 2026?
$1.4m Vol.
$523k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$523k Liq.Ends in 9 months
56%
NVIDIA
Will Trump Mobile release a phone by...?
$28k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$28k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 3 months
23%
June 30
2nd largest company end of April?
$921k Vol.
$147k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$921k Vol.$147k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
70%
Apple
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.2m Vol.
$92k Liq.
17
Ends in almost 2 years
$1.2m Vol.$92k Liq.17Ends in almost 2 years
38%
Goldman Sachs
3rd largest company end of March?
$1.0m Vol.
$143k Liq.
2
Ends in about 7 hours
$1.0m Vol.$143k Liq.2Ends in about 7 hours
100%
Alphabet
How high will Polymarket's mindshare go?
$1.8m Vol.
$41k Liq.
13
Ends in about 7 hours
$1.8m Vol.$41k Liq.13Ends in about 7 hours
4%
85%