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Fed Rates Predictions & Odds· 273 markets

AllPoliticsBusinessFinanceTrumpFederal ReserveFedInflationUS PoliticsMAGAFed RatesEconomyDerivativesFOMCMacro SingleParlaysJerome PowellEconomic PolicyMacro IndicatorsTreasuriesWarshKevin WarshJudy SheltonChair Of The Federal Reserve
F
Fed decision in April?

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decision in April?

$47.2m Vol.
$4.2m Liq.
🔥$2.5m today
49
Ends in 26 days

98%

No change

H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economy·Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

$15.5m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$162k today
60
Ends in 9 months

31%

0 (0 bps)

F
Fed Decision in June?

Politics·Economic Policy

Fed Decision in June?

$5.3m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$100k today
23
Ends in 2 months

91%

No change

F
Fed Decision in July?

Economy·fomc

Fed Decision in July?

$3.3m Vol.
$299k Liq.
🔥$63k today
Ends in 4 months

81%

No change

F
Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

$412k Vol.
$98k Liq.
38
Ends in 26 days

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Economy·Fed

Fed rate hike in 2026?

$800k Vol.
$43k Liq.
6
Ends in 8 months

15%

Yes

F
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

$719k Vol.
$102k Liq.
Ends in 2 months

86%

Pause–Pause–Pause

F
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

$3k Vol.
$120k Liq.
Ends in 4 months

72%

Pause–Pause–Pause

H
How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

Politics·Fed

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

$11k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 26 days

42%

2

J
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

Politics·Trump

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended

53%

>5%

W
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Politics·Trump

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

$18.7m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
73
Ends in 7 months

97%

Kevin Warsh

F
Fed rate cut by...?

Economy·Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

$1.3m Vol.
$186k Liq.
16
Ends in 2 months

64%

December Meeting

J
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Politics·Jerome Powell

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

$1.9m Vol.
$35k Liq.
37
Ends in about 1 month

1%

Yes

W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Politics·Fed Rates

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

$6.0m Vol.
$282k Liq.
5
Ends in 8 months

29%

3.75%

W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Economy·Jerome Powell

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

$1.3m Vol.
$310k Liq.
19
Ends in 9 months

66%

↓ 3.25%

J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Politics·Fed

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

$118k Vol.
$16k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

69%

December 31

F
Fed rate hike by...?

Finance·fomc

Fed rate hike by...?

$3k Vol.
$202k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

28%

October Meeting

F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Finance·Business

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

$74k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

17%

Yes

K
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Politics·Trump

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

$66k Vol.
$33k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month

2%

Yes

H
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Finance·Jerome Powell

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$167k Vol.
$30k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months

86%

4.5%