Space Predictions & Odds· 442 markets

Major Space Weather event this week? (March 29 - April 4)

Major Space Weather event this week? (March 29 - April 4)

$7k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 5 days

98%

Yes

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$447k Vol.
$81k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months

71%

$5M

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

$347k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

38%

5-6

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?

$636k Vol.
$328k Liq.
🔥$106k today
11
Ends in 9 months

93%

December 31

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

$139k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

18%

Yes

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

$275k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

43%

Yes

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

5%

Yes

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

$57k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years

95%

SpaceX

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.5m Vol.
$74k Liq.
🔥$442k today
2

52%

1.5T-2.0T

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

$81k Vol.
$50k Liq.
1

30%

1.50-1.75T

NASA Artemis II

NASA Artemis II

$697k Vol.
$26k Liq.
94
Ends in about 16 hours

83%

April 30

Which exchange will SpaceX list on?

Which exchange will SpaceX list on?

$69k Vol.
$37k Liq.

91%

NASDAQ

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$1.6m Vol.
$260k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months

90%

SpaceX

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

$648k Vol.
$98k Liq.
8
Ends in almost 2 years

46%

2.0T+

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

$70k Vol.
$57k Liq.
3

26%

70-80B

SpaceX files IPO by...?

SpaceX files IPO by...?

$58k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 days

38%

April 3

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?

$706k Vol.
$44k Liq.
25
Ends in 9 months

6%

Yes

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$189k Vol.
$17k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months

30%

Yes

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

$244k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

34%

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