Xai Predictions & Odds· 218 markets
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$119 Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$119 Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
76%
25%+
6%
Yes
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$34k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$34k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
44%
None in 2026
52%
April 30
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
$91k Vol.
$19k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$19k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
$58k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$58k Vol.$13k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$15.9m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$287k today
Ends in about 15 hours
$15.9m Vol.🔥$287k today$2.3m Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
100%
Anthropic
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$800k Vol.
$137k Liq.
🔥$159k today
Ends in about 1 month
$800k Vol.🔥$159k today$137k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
83%
Anthropic
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
$2.7m Vol.
$449k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2.7m Vol.$449k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
89%
Anthropic
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$540k Vol.
$66k Liq.
2
Ends in about 15 hours
$540k Vol.$66k Liq.2Ends in about 15 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$999k Vol.
$111k Liq.
1
Ends in about 15 hours
$999k Vol.$111k Liq.1Ends in about 15 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has best AI model end of June?
$2.9m Vol.
$425k Liq.
63
Ends in 3 months
$2.9m Vol.$425k Liq.63Ends in 3 months
65%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$384k Vol.
$67k Liq.
2
Ends in about 15 hours
$384k Vol.$67k Liq.2Ends in about 15 hours
96%
Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
$525k Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$525k Vol.$94k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
99%
Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
$617k Vol.
$108k Liq.
1
Ends in about 15 hours
$617k Vol.$108k Liq.1Ends in about 15 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the third best AI model end of April?
$87k Vol.
$95k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$87k Vol.$95k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
63%
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$12k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$57k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
$333k Vol.
$121k Liq.
52
Ends in 3 months
$333k Vol.$121k Liq.52Ends in 3 months
50%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$7k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
41%
Which company has the second best AI model end of April?
$12k Vol.
$103k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$103k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
80%
Anthropic