Department Of Homeland Security Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$512k Vol.
$126k Liq.
🔥$174k today
Ends in about 1 month

38%

After April 30

When will the DHS shutdown end?

When will the DHS shutdown end?

$1.6m Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours

100%

After March 31

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

$1.1m Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ended

99%

48+ days

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

$80k Vol.
$70k Liq.
1
Ends in about 13 hours

14%

Catherine Cortez Masto

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

$34k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 15 days

1%

Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

41%

April 30

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

$82k Vol.
$21k Liq.
8
Ends in about 13 hours

1%

Yes

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

$312k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ends in about 13 hours

0%

Yes

Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?

Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in about 13 hours

2%

Yes

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

$733k Vol.
$9k Liq.
146
Ends in about 13 hours

1%

Yes

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

$24k Vol.
$12k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

16%

Yes

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

$600k Vol.
$16k Liq.
170
Ended

1%

Yes

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

$7k Vol.
$846 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

71%

December 31, 2026

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$374k Vol.
$25k Liq.
59

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?

Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?

$35k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in about 13 hours

0%

Yes

When will DHS receive full-year funding?

When will DHS receive full-year funding?

$295k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

February 28

ICE forced to unmask by February 28?

ICE forced to unmask by February 28?

$81k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

No

Will Trump denaturalize any citizen by June 30?

Will Trump denaturalize any citizen by June 30?

$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

Yes

Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?

Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?

$285k Vol.
$0 Liq.
32
Ended

No