US Iran Predictions & Odds· 352 markets
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$7.7m Vol.
$305k Liq.
🔥$337k today
154
Ends in 3 months
$7.7m Vol.🔥$337k today$305k Liq.154Ends in 3 months
67%
June 30
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
$4.9m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$271k today
Ends in 9 months
$4.9m Vol.🔥$271k today$1.2m Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31
US x Russia military clash by...?
$583k Vol.
$23k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
$583k Vol.$23k Liq.14Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
$1.5m Vol.
$48k Liq.
🔥$53k today
Ends in about 16 hours
$1.5m Vol.🔥$53k today$48k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
1%
Yes
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
$361k Vol.
$212k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$361k Vol.$212k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
58%
Pakistan
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
$121k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$121k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
14%
Yes
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
$906k Vol.
$23k Liq.
24
Ends in 3 months
$906k Vol.$23k Liq.24Ends in 3 months
34%
Yes
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
$445k Vol.
$41k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months
$445k Vol.$41k Liq.28Ends in 9 months
50%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$62.2m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$2.8m today
1,226
$62.2m Vol.🔥$2.8m today$1.4m Liq.1,226
75%
December 31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$61k Liq.
🔥$61k today
Ends in about 16 hours
$1.0m Vol.🔥$61k today$61k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
74%
June 30
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$52k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$52k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
29%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$60k Vol.
$15k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$60k Vol.$15k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
52%
Yes
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$28k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
34%
Leadership Change
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$96k Vol.
$47k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$96k Vol.$47k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
44%
US x Iran Ceasefire
US forces enter Iran by..?
$52.4m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$7.9m today
4,854
$52.4m Vol.🔥$7.9m today$1.4m Liq.4,854
78%
December 31
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
$466k Vol.
$86k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$466k Vol.$86k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
15%
Yes
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by...?
$177k Vol.
$8k Liq.
89
Ends in about 1 month
$177k Vol.$8k Liq.89Ends in about 1 month
25%
April 30
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
$351k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$351k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
2%
Yes