Tariffs Predictions & Odds· 328 markets
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$325k Vol.
$18k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$325k Vol.$18k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
46%
Yes
Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?
$25k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 16 hours
$25k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in about 16 hours
0%
Yes
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
$1.2m Vol.
$52k Liq.
28
Ends in about 16 hours
$1.2m Vol.$52k Liq.28Ends in about 16 hours
97%
5–15%
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
$62k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in about 16 hours
$62k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in about 16 hours
98%
Yes
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
$30k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
$39k Vol.
$20k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$39k Vol.$20k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
Will Trump visit China by...?
$17.9m Vol.
$4.4m Liq.
🔥$3.2m today
424
Ends in about 1 month
$17.9m Vol.🔥$3.2m today$4.4m Liq.424Ends in about 1 month
84%
June 30
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31?
$162k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
$162k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in about 16 hours
1%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$60k Vol.
$15k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$60k Vol.$15k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
52%
Yes
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
$140k Vol.
$228k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$228k Liq.Ends in 9 months
26%
Israel
34%
800–900B
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 3 months
15%
Yes
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$79k Vol.
$25k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$79k Vol.$25k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
36%
June 30
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
$409k Vol.
$13k Liq.
25
Ends in about 16 hours
$409k Vol.$13k Liq.25Ends in about 16 hours
0%
Yes
Which countries will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for by Feb 1?
$417k Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended
$417k Vol.$0 Liq.16Ended
Netherlands
Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
$230k Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
$230k Vol.$0 Liq.9Ended
No
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
$819k Vol.
$0 Liq.
39
Ended
$819k Vol.$0 Liq.39Ended
No
Vietnam
Yes