Embargo Predictions & Odds· 105 markets
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$81k Vol.
$19k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$81k Vol.$19k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
36%
June 30
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?
$414k Vol.
$9k Liq.
25
Ends in about 13 hours
$414k Vol.$9k Liq.25Ends in about 13 hours
1%
Yes
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
$701k Vol.
$113k Liq.
34
Ends in 9 months
$701k Vol.$113k Liq.34Ends in 9 months
34%
7
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$129k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$129k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 3 months
16%
Yes
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$99k Vol.
$14k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
$99k Vol.$14k Liq.11Ends in 3 months
13%
Yes
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?
$78k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$78k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 16 days
51%
April 15
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
$163k Vol.
$120k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$163k Vol.$120k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
98%
Kuwait
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
$60k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$60k Vol.$17k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
41%
Yes
Iran military action against ___ by March 31?
$3.6m Vol.
$180k Liq.
🔥$309k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$3.6m Vol.🔥$309k today$180k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
95%
Bahrain
How many different countries will Israel strike in April?
$14k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$14k Vol.$39k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
48%
≥4
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?
$7k Vol.
$841 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$841 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
71%
December 31, 2026
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$5.3m Vol.
$183k Liq.
🔥$533k today
2
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.🔥$533k today$183k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
29%
5
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$25k Vol.
$202k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$25k Vol.$202k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
63%
Military action through April 30
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$27k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$27k Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
46%
April 25
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$3k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
86%
April 1
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$5k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
Military action against Iran ends by...?
$248k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$248k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in 3 months
79%
June 30
Military action against Iran ends on...?
$3.0m Vol.
$94k Liq.
🔥$116k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$3.0m Vol.🔥$116k today$94k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
99%
Military action through March 31
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?
$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
73%
April 9