Liberation Day Tariffs Predictions & Odds· 118 markets
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$328k Vol.
$21k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$328k Vol.$21k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
U.S. tariff rate on China on March 31?
$1.2m Vol.
$47k Liq.
28
Ends in about 7 hours
$1.2m Vol.$47k Liq.28Ends in about 7 hours
98%
5–15%
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
$62k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in about 7 hours
$62k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in about 7 hours
98%
Yes
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
$30k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
$39k Vol.
$22k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$39k Vol.$22k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 3 months
15%
Yes
Yes
Yes
Trump Presidency · Trump 100 Days
Which countries will Trump tariff in first 100 days?
$1.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
146
Ended
$1.6m Vol.$0 Liq.146Ended
Japan
India
Yes
What will Trump say during Tariff event on April 2?
$702k Vol.
$0 Liq.
205
Ended
$702k Vol.$0 Liq.205Ended
AI / Artificial Intelligence
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?
$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended
$1.1m Vol.$0 Liq.45Ended
Yes
Will Trump announce a general Tariff on imports on April 2?
$79k Vol.
$0 Liq.
15
Ended
$79k Vol.$0 Liq.15Ended
Yes
Tariffs · Trump
Will anyone audibly fart during tariff event on April 2?
$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
68
Ended
$1.1m Vol.$0 Liq.68Ended
No