Liberation Day Tariffs Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
$328k Vol.
$16k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
$328k Vol.$16k Liq.36Ends in 3 months
50%
Yes
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
$62k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ended
$62k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ended
98%
Yes
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?
$30k Vol.
$9k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$30k Vol.$9k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
$39k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$39k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
$0 Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$0 Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
15%
Yes
Will anyone be kicked out of Trump's National Agriculture Day event?
$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ended
$3k Vol.$3k Liq.2Ended
1%
Yes
Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$23k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$23k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
79%
60-79
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 4 days
42%
60-79
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$635 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$635 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
48%
60-79
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
$20k Vol.
$33k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$20k Vol.$33k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
38%
3
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$84k Vol.
$21k Liq.
15
Ends in 3 months
$84k Vol.$21k Liq.15Ends in 3 months
39%
June 30
# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?
$20k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$20k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 2 months
56%
10+
1%
Yes
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$8k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$8k Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in 30 days
51%
20+
White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$173k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$173k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
88%
160-179
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$27k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$27k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
95%
<20
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$53k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$53k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 4 days
41%
160-179
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$19k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 4 days
88%
<20