Liberation Day Tariffs 预测与赔率· 101 个市场

W
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

$329k 交易量
$20k 流动性
36
3 个月后结束

47%

Yes

T
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

$30k 交易量
$12k 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

11%

Yes

1
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

$40k 交易量
$14k 流动性
4
3 个月后结束

5%

Yes

W
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?

$9k 交易量
$16k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

10%

Yes

Z
Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$445 交易量
$2k 流动性
8 天后结束

38%

60-79

Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$15k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1 天后结束

69%

80-99

Z
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$911 交易量
$2k 流动性
5 天后结束

37%

140-159

#
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?

$21k 交易量
$21k 流动性
2
2 个月后结束

39%

3

U
US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

$92k 交易量
$26k 流动性
15
3 个月后结束

37%

June 30

#
# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

$21k 交易量
$28k 流动性
2 个月后结束

55%

10+

W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

$21k 交易量
$45k 流动性
28 天后结束

42%

20+

W
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$117k 交易量
$6k 流动性
1 天后结束

79%

200+

W
White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$10k 交易量
$31k 流动性
8 天后结束

38%

160-179

K
Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$604 交易量
$3k 流动性
8 天后结束

37%

<5

W
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?

$650k 交易量
$49k 流动性
已结束

3%

20+

K
Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$34k 交易量
$9k 流动性
1 天后结束

75%

<20

W
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$32k 交易量
$13k 流动性
5 天后结束

48%

200+

S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

$28k 交易量
$30k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束

38%

Yes

K
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$10k 交易量
$8k 流动性
5 天后结束

31%

10-14

U
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

$75k 交易量
$21k 流动性
6
3 个月后结束

52%

Yes