Macro Geopolitics 预测与赔率· 125 个市场

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

$1.5m 交易量
$88k 流动性
🔥$56k 今日
98
大约 1 个月后结束

20%

Yes

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

$7.6m 交易量
$173k 流动性
705
9 个月后结束

8%

Yes

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

$193k 交易量
$42k 流动性
15
9 个月后结束

24%

Yes

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$439k 交易量
$26k 流动性
2
9 个月后结束

33%

Yes

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$3k 交易量
$3k 流动性
4 天后结束

41%

60-79

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m 交易量
$10k 流动性
107
3 个月后结束

47%

Yes

Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$16k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1 天后结束

73%

60-79

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$578 交易量
$4k 流动性
8 天后结束

43%

60-79

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?

$139k 交易量
$17k 流动性
大约 15 小时后结束

12%

April 30

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

$374k 交易量
$17k 流动性
59

17%

Isfahan nuclear facility

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

$60k 交易量
$15k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束

52%

Yes

Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamoto

Sports · Games

Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamoto

$3k 交易量
$144k 流动性
7 天后结束

64%

Marco Trungelliti

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

$701k 交易量
$112k 流动性
34
9 个月后结束

34%

7

Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Khamenei # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$19k 交易量
$9k 流动性
4 天后结束

92%

<20

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$28k 交易量
$12k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束

44%

April 30

China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

$214k 交易量
$18k 流动性
13
已结束

20%

Yes

Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

$25k 交易量
$8k 流动性
1 天后结束

97%

<20

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

$119k 交易量
$49k 流动性
3
9 个月后结束

71%

December 31

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?

$15k 交易量
$5k 流动性
已结束

4%

Yes

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$2k 交易量
$5k 流动性
8 天后结束

37%

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