Hormuz Predictions & Odds· 126 markets
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
$1.5m Vol.
$122k Liq.
🔥$56k today
102
Ends in about 1 month
$1.5m Vol.🔥$56k today$122k Liq.102Ends in about 1 month
20%
Yes
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
$603k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$603k Vol.$43k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
4%
20+
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?
$6k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$6k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
67%
20+
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?
$74.4m Vol.
$5.3m Liq.
🔥$3.5m today
3
Ends in about 13 hours
$74.4m Vol.🔥$3.5m today$5.3m Liq.3Ends in about 13 hours
86%
↑ $100
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in March?
$1.3m Vol.
$62k Liq.
🔥$142k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$1.3m Vol.🔥$142k today$62k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
94%
$90+
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?
$108k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$108k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
3%
Yes
Crude Oil (CL) above ___ end of March?
$19k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$19k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
100%
$56
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30?
$629k Vol.
$124k Liq.
🔥$399k today
15
Ends in about 1 month
$629k Vol.🔥$399k today$124k Liq.15Ends in about 1 month
41%
United States
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of March?
$1.6m Vol.
$66k Liq.
🔥$336k today
Ends in about 13 hours
$1.6m Vol.🔥$336k today$66k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
97%
0-10
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz on April 3?
$324k Vol.
$57k Liq.
🔥$226k today
Ends in 4 days
$324k Vol.🔥$226k today$57k Liq.Ends in 4 days
80%
0-10
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by...?
$2.2m Vol.
$113k Liq.
🔥$175k today
121
Ends in about 13 hours
$2.2m Vol.🔥$175k today$113k Liq.121Ends in about 13 hours
30%
April 30
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 17-23)
$424k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ended
$424k Vol.$48k Liq.Ended
55%
20-24
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week? (Mar 23-29)
$24k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended
$24k Vol.$14k Liq.Ended
37%
25-29
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of April?
$11k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$52k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
38%
0-10
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
$25k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$25k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
11%
Yes
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.1m Vol.
$363k Liq.
🔥$595k today
205
Ends in 1 day
$9.1m Vol.🔥$595k today$363k Liq.205Ends in 1 day
44%
June 30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
$329k Vol.
$112k Liq.
🔥$60k today
32
Ends in about 1 month
$329k Vol.🔥$60k today$112k Liq.32Ends in about 1 month
37%
April 30
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?
$706k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$706k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
39%
April 30
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
$386 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$386 Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
14%
April 5
Who will enter Iran by June 30?
$204k Vol.
$209k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$204k Vol.$209k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
9%
Pete Hegseth