Campaign Promises Predictions & Odds· 168 markets
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$7k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$7k Vol.$48k Liq.Ends in 12 days
26%
Keiko Fujimori <5%
Will Ken Paxton drop out?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes
West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$74k Vol.
$68k Liq.
12
Ends in 29 days
$74k Vol.$68k Liq.12Ends in 29 days
74%
AITC
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
$212k Vol.
$15k Liq.
61
Ends in 3 months
$212k Vol.$15k Liq.61Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
cs2 · counter strike 2
Will Valve add first CS2 operation by April 1, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 1 day
$3k Vol.$3k Liq.1Ends in 1 day
3%
Yes
Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$10k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
$10k Vol.$19k Liq.1Ends in 9 days
93%
BJP
Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?
$1.1m Vol.
$0 Liq.
45
Ended
$1.1m Vol.$0 Liq.45Ended
Yes
Ross Ulbricht
How many Jan 6th protestors will Trump pardon in his first 100 days?
$8.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
102
Ended
$8.2m Vol.$0 Liq.102Ended
1,250-1,499
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?
$2.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
872
Ended
$2.8m Vol.$0 Liq.872Ended
No
Yes
Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days?
$1.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
84
Ended
$1.8m Vol.$0 Liq.84Ended
No
Trump opens Arctic Wildlife Refuge for drilling in first 100 days?
$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
$16k Vol.$0 Liq.2Ended
Yes
Yes