Texas Senate Predictions & Odds· 135 markets

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.3m Vol.
$325k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$1.3m Vol.$325k Liq.Ends in 7 months
52%
Democratic Party

Which party will win the House in 2026?
$4.1m Vol.
$488k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$4.1m Vol.$488k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
85%
Democratic Party

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
$13.1m Vol.
$312k Liq.
🔥$89k today
1
Ends in about 2 months
$13.1m Vol.🔥$89k today$312k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
65%
Ken Paxton

Texas Senate Election Winner
$158k Vol.
$86k Liq.
7
Ends in 7 months
$158k Vol.$86k Liq.7Ends in 7 months
56%
Republican

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$39k Vol.
$96k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$39k Vol.$96k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
36%
Paxton 9%+

Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
$4k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$4k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
39%
0.6–0.9M

Will Ken Paxton drop out?
$5k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$5k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes

Nothing Ever Happens: March
$291k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$291k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
71%
Nothing

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$8k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes

27%
≤47

Texas Attorney General Republican Primary Runoff Winner
$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$3k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
79%
Mayes Middleton

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary Winner
$64k Vol.
$118k Liq.
2
Ends in about 2 months
$64k Vol.$118k Liq.2Ends in about 2 months
74%
Julia Letlow

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held
$6k Vol.
$28k Liq.
2
Ends in 6 months
$6k Vol.$28k Liq.2Ends in 6 months
75%
PL

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won
$244k Vol.
$44k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$244k Vol.$44k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
73%
PL

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$551k Vol.
$12k Liq.
26
Ends in about 7 hours
$551k Vol.$12k Liq.26Ends in about 7 hours
51%
December 31, 2026

85%
Republican Party

Texas Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory (Smaller Brackets)
$7k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 8 months
$7k Vol.$0 Liq.Ends in 8 months
Talarico 6.0–6.5%

Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?
$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended
$0 Vol.$0 Liq.16Ended
No

Dems