Cornyn Predictions & Odds· 124 markets
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory
$39k Vol.
$83k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 months
$39k Vol.$83k Liq.1Ends in about 2 months
35%
Paxton 9%+
Will Ken Paxton drop out?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes
Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$4k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
39%
0.6–0.9M
Nothing Ever Happens: March
$290k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$290k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
74%
Nothing
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
$13.1m Vol.
$283k Liq.
🔥$96k today
Ends in about 2 months
$13.1m Vol.🔥$96k today$283k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
65%
Ken Paxton
75%
Ken Paxton - TX-Sen
Texas Senate Election Winner
$158k Vol.
$67k Liq.
7
Ends in 7 months
$158k Vol.$67k Liq.7Ends in 7 months
56%
Republican
Ted Cruz # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$5k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 8 days
40%
100-119
Ted Cruz # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$18k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$18k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 4 days
48%
100-119
77%
Republican Party
27%
≤47
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
$90k Vol.
$34k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$90k Vol.$34k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
75%
Republican
White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$6k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 8 days
32%
160-179
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$51k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$51k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 4 days
43%
160-179
93%
Republican Party
Ted Cruz # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$32k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$32k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 1 day
67%
100-119
93%
Democratic Party
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes