Campaign Promises Predictions & Odds· 106 markets
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
$212k Vol.
$15k Liq.
61
Ends in 3 months
$212k Vol.$15k Liq.61Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
cs2 · counter strike 2
Will Valve add first CS2 operation by April 1, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 1 day
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.1Ends in 1 day
3%
Yes
Will Ken Paxton drop out?
$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$5k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
5%
Yes
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$7k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$7k Vol.$63k Liq.Ends in 12 days
26%
Keiko Fujimori <5%
West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$74k Vol.
$84k Liq.
12
Ends in 29 days
$74k Vol.$84k Liq.12Ends in 29 days
73%
AITC
Kerala Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$60k Vol.
$97k Liq.
19
Ends in 9 days
$60k Vol.$97k Liq.19Ends in 9 days
66%
INC
Assam Legislative Assembly Election Winner
$10k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
$10k Vol.$32k Liq.1Ends in 9 days
93%
BJP
91%
Republican Party
Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory
$13k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$13k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in 19 days
45%
PB 5-10%
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$19k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$19k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$50k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$50k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)
94%
Democratic Party
91%
Democratic Party
Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP wins___seats?
$171k Vol.
$64k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$171k Vol.$64k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
56%
80+
93%
Democratic Party
53%
Democratic Party
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
$20k Vol.
$34k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$20k Vol.$34k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
41%
3
93%
Democratic Party
93%
Democratic Party
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$206k Vol.
$76k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$206k Vol.$76k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
40%
Lula da Silva <5%