Primaries Predictions & Odds· 280 markets

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
$4k Vol.$11k Liq.
81%
0

40%
7-9

73%
4-6

50%
2

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$936.9m Vol.
$36.7m Liq.
🔥$6.0m today
620
Ends in over 2 years
$936.9m Vol.🔥$6.0m today$36.7m Liq.620Ends in over 2 years
24%
Gavin Newsom

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$492.2m Vol.
$28.8m Liq.
🔥$5.6m today
322
Ends in over 2 years
$492.2m Vol.🔥$5.6m today$28.8m Liq.322Ends in over 2 years
49%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Iowa Governor Democratic Primary Winner
$357k Vol.
$95k Liq.
🔥$344k today
Ends in 2 months
$357k Vol.🔥$344k today$95k Liq.Ends in 2 months
97%
Rob Sand

Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner
$1.6m Vol.
$128k Liq.
🔥$274k today
7
Ends in 3 months
$1.6m Vol.🔥$274k today$128k Liq.7Ends in 3 months
36%
Bert Mizusawa

Maryland Governor Republican Primary Winner
$472k Vol.
$102k Liq.
🔥$173k today
1
Ends in 3 months
$472k Vol.🔥$173k today$102k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
52%
Dan Cox

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
$13.0m Vol.
$296k Liq.
🔥$91k today
Ends in about 2 months
$13.0m Vol.🔥$91k today$296k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
65%
Ken Paxton

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner
$790k Vol.
$160k Liq.
🔥$61k today
2
Ends in 2 months
$790k Vol.🔥$61k today$160k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
59%
Greg Hull

Oklahoma Governor Republican Primary Winner
$245k Vol.
$76k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$245k Vol.$76k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
41%
Mike Mazzei

New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner
$405k Vol.
$114k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$405k Vol.$114k Liq.Ends in 2 months
54%
Richard Tabor

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
$351k Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$351k Vol.$1.2m Liq.1Ends in 2 months
64%
Eric Swalwell

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner
$1.2m Vol.
$172k Liq.
40
Ends in 5 months
$1.2m Vol.$172k Liq.40Ends in 5 months
82%
Byron Donalds

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner
$1.9m Vol.
$165k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$1.9m Vol.$165k Liq.Ends in 2 months
86%
Graham Platner

Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner
$898k Vol.
$74k Liq.
11
Ends in about 1 month
$898k Vol.$74k Liq.11Ends in about 1 month
95%
Vivek Ramaswamy

72%
Eric Chung

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner
$37k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$37k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
28%
Jerry Carl