Social Policy Predictions & Odds· 516 markets
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$31.0m Vol.
$285k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$31.0m Vol.$285k Liq.Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
$178k Vol.
$93k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$178k Vol.$93k Liq.Ends in 9 months
92%
China
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?
$78k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$78k Vol.$48k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?
$234k Vol.
$44k Liq.
1
Ends in about 13 hours
$234k Vol.$44k Liq.1Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
$56k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$56k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$11k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$19k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 8 days
34%
80-99
Epstein client list released by...?
$3.9m Vol.
$30k Liq.
666
Ends in 3 months
$3.9m Vol.$30k Liq.666Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
$1.0m Vol.
$184k Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months
$1.0m Vol.$184k Liq.7Ends in 6 months
89%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$509k Vol.
$62k Liq.
🔥$277k today
Ends in 1 day
$509k Vol.🔥$277k today$62k Liq.Ends in 1 day
67%
100-119
99%
Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$121k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$121k Vol.$38k Liq.Ends in 4 days
36%
80-99
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?
$22k Vol.
$19k Liq.
3
Ended
$22k Vol.$19k Liq.3Ended
97%
Moderates
What will Trump say this week? (April 5)
$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$3k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 6 days
87%
Eight Boats / Eight Ships
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 20 - March 27, 2026?
$454k Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
Ended
$454k Vol.$1.2m Liq.Ended
0%
Yes
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
$62k Vol.
$14k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$62k Vol.$14k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
47%
Yes
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
$96k Vol.
$48k Liq.
4
Ended
$96k Vol.$48k Liq.4Ended
81%
Democrats (D)
98%
Freedom Movement (GS)
What will Trump post this week? (March 30 - April 5)
$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
$7k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 6 days
73%
Peace Through Strength