Social Policy Predictions & Odds· 159 markets

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
$31.0m Vol.
$288k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$31.0m Vol.$288k Liq.Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
$179k Vol.
$88k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$179k Vol.$88k Liq.Ends in 9 months
92%
China

Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?
$79k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$79k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes

Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?
$234k Vol.
$44k Liq.
1
Ends in about 9 hours
$234k Vol.$44k Liq.1Ends in about 9 hours
0%
Yes

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
$56k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$56k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
12%
Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30

45%
Yes

17%
Isfahan nuclear facility

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
$360k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$360k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
83%
Not Extended & Democratic Party

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$5k Vol.$6k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes

White House # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$52k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$52k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 4 days
41%
160-179

White House # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$150k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$150k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 1 day
69%
160-179

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
$20k Vol.
$29k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$20k Vol.$29k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
39%
3

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$19k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$19k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 8 days
34%
80-99

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$6k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 8 days
28%
180-199

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
$24k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in 9 months
95%
↓ $6,200

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?
$175k Vol.
$18k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$175k Vol.$18k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
56%
↓ 100

S&P 500 · Indicies
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?
$16k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$16k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in 3 months
84%
↓ $6,300

