Scotus 预测与赔率· 106 个市场

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
$20k 交易量
$5k 流动性
1
9 个月后结束
$20k 交易量$5k 流动性19 个月后结束
70%
Yes

Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
$62k 交易量
$12k 流动性
5
大约 13 小时后结束
$62k 交易量$12k 流动性5大约 13 小时后结束
98%
Yes

0%
Yes

56%
December 31

68%
Yes

49%
December 31

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 交易量
$7k 流动性
2
7 个月后结束
$0 交易量$7k 流动性27 个月后结束
82%
Yes

Politics
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?
$9k 交易量
$2k 流动性
2
大约 13 小时后结束
$9k 交易量$2k 流动性2大约 13 小时后结束
99%
Yes

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
$17k 交易量
$24k 流动性
9 个月后结束
$17k 交易量$24k 流动性9 个月后结束
10%
Yes

76%
Republican Party

69%
Not revealed in 2026

85%
Republican Party

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k 交易量
$10k 流动性
2
7 个月后结束
$2k 交易量$10k 流动性27 个月后结束
92%
Yes

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$551k 交易量
$13k 流动性
26
大约 13 小时后结束
$551k 交易量$13k 流动性26大约 13 小时后结束
51%
December 31, 2026

93%
Republican Party

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
$54k 交易量
$14k 流动性
23
9 个月后结束
$54k 交易量$14k 流动性239 个月后结束
17%
Yes

50%
Democrats Sweep


