Scotus Predictions & Odds· 106 markets
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
$20k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$20k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
70%
Yes
Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?
$62k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in about 16 hours
$62k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in about 16 hours
98%
Yes
Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31?
$25k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in about 16 hours
$25k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in about 16 hours
0%
Yes
55%
Yes
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$931k Vol.
$13k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$931k Vol.$13k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
53%
December 31
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$15k Vol.
$98k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$15k Vol.$98k Liq.Ends in 4 months
68%
Yes
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
$33k Vol.
$23k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$33k Vol.$23k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
50%
December 31
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
Politics
Will Schumer remain Minority Leader through March 31?
$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in about 16 hours
$9k Vol.$2k Liq.2Ends in about 16 hours
98%
Yes
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
$17k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
76%
Republican Party
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$19k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$19k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026
85%
Republican Party
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
What will Apple (AAPL) hit in April 2026?
$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$1k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
92%
↓ $248
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$551k Vol.
$13k Liq.
26
Ends in about 16 hours
$551k Vol.$13k Liq.26Ends in about 16 hours
51%
December 31, 2026
93%
Republican Party
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
$54k Vol.
$14k Liq.
23
Ends in 9 months
$54k Vol.$14k Liq.23Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.2m Vol.
$505k Liq.
138
Ends in 7 months
$4.2m Vol.$505k Liq.138Ends in 7 months
50%
Democrats Sweep