Voter Fraud Predictions & Odds· 101 markets
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?
$17k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$17k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
Yes
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
$742 Vol.
$688 Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
$742 Vol.$688 Liq.Ends in about 13 hours
1%
Yes
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?
$2k Vol.
$14k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$2k Vol.$14k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
60%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
43%
April 30
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$15k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$15k Vol.$50k Liq.Ends in 4 months
68%
Yes
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$43k Vol.
$24k Liq.
57
Ended
$43k Vol.$24k Liq.57Ended
54%
59-60%
Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election
$84k Vol.
$60k Liq.
1
Ends in 13 days
$84k Vol.$60k Liq.1Ends in 13 days
45%
71–74%
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?
$84k Vol.
$9k Liq.
8
Ends in about 13 hours
$84k Vol.$9k Liq.8Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
70%
55-60%
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
SAVE Act becomes law by...?
$232k Vol.
$51k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$232k Vol.$51k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
25%
December 31
Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election
$120k Vol.
$18k Liq.
86
Ended
$120k Vol.$18k Liq.86Ended
84%
70–75%
Will Trump nationalize elections?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$206k Vol.
$84k Liq.
6
Ends in 6 months
$206k Vol.$84k Liq.6Ends in 6 months
40%
Lula da Silva <5%
Will anyone charged over daycare fraud in MN be deported by March 31?
$35k Vol.
$8k Liq.
3
Ends in about 13 hours
$35k Vol.$8k Liq.3Ends in about 13 hours
0%
Yes
