Gavin Newsom Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes

Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
$76k Vol.
$8k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$76k Vol.$8k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$936.9m Vol.
$36.7m Liq.
🔥$6.0m today
620
Ends in over 2 years
$936.9m Vol.🔥$6.0m today$36.7m Liq.620Ends in over 2 years
24%
Gavin Newsom

Presidential Election Winner 2028
$471.7m Vol.
$30.4m Liq.
🔥$4.5m today
796
Ends in over 2 years
$471.7m Vol.🔥$4.5m today$30.4m Liq.796Ends in over 2 years
18%
JD Vance

Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$476k Liq.
🔥$70k today
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.🔥$70k today$476k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
$282k Vol.
$853k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$282k Vol.$853k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
51%
Gretchen Whitmer

Parties advancing from the California Governor primary?
$45k Vol.
$36k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$45k Vol.$36k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
68%
Dem-Rep

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
$351k Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
$351k Vol.$1.2m Liq.1Ends in 2 months
64%
Eric Swalwell

California Governor Election Winner
$7.5m Vol.
$909k Liq.
🔥$403k today
18
Ends in 7 months
$7.5m Vol.🔥$403k today$909k Liq.18Ends in 7 months
62%
Eric Swalwell

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
$85k Vol.
$10k Liq.
-2
Ends in 3 months
$85k Vol.$10k Liq.-2Ends in 3 months
69%
Yes

Los Angeles Mayoral Election
$772k Vol.
$127k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$772k Vol.$127k Liq.Ends in 2 months
42%
Karen Bass

93%
Democratic Party

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$76k Liq.
13
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$76k Liq.13Ends in 7 months
35%
Yes

92%
Democratic Party

90%
Democratic Party

87%
Republican Party

92%
Democratic Party

69%
Democratic Party

89%
Democratic Party

95%
Democratic Party