Gavin Newsom Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes

Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?
$76k Vol.
$10k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$76k Vol.$10k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$942.9m Vol.
$39.1m Liq.
🔥$8.6m today
628
Ends in over 2 years
$942.9m Vol.🔥$8.6m today$39.1m Liq.628Ends in over 2 years
24%
Gavin Newsom

Presidential Election Winner 2028
$475.2m Vol.
$28.6m Liq.
🔥$5.9m today
803
Ends in over 2 years
$475.2m Vol.🔥$5.9m today$28.6m Liq.803Ends in over 2 years
18%
JD Vance

Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$396k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.$396k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
$282k Vol.
$550k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$282k Vol.$550k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
51%
Gretchen Whitmer

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30

48%
↓ 19200

What price will Ethereum hit in March?
$24.7m Vol.
$2.9m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
Ends in 1 day
$24.7m Vol.🔥$1.1m today$2.9m Liq.Ends in 1 day
1%
↓ 1,800

What price will Ethereum hit March 30-April 5?
$64k Vol.
$393k Liq.
🔥$64k today
Ends in 6 days
$64k Vol.🔥$64k today$393k Liq.Ends in 6 days
68%
↑ 2,100

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$978k today
2
Ends in 4 days
$12.4m Vol.🔥$978k today$1.2m Liq.2Ends in 4 days
20%
240-259

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$1k Vol.
$796 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$1k Vol.$796 Liq.Ends in 1 day
47%
↓ 43200

What will the Ethereum implied volatility Index hit by April 30?
$190k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$190k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
41%
↑ 85

Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?
$4k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$4k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 5 days
35%
65-89

Elon Musk # tweets March 28 - March 30, 2026?
$3.6m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$1.9m today
1
Ended
$3.6m Vol.🔥$1.9m today$1.8m Liq.1Ended
0%
90-114

Elon Musk # tweets March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$9.8m Vol.
$2.3m Liq.
🔥$2.3m today
1
Ends in about 21 hours
$9.8m Vol.🔥$2.3m today$2.3m Liq.1Ends in about 21 hours
59%
220-239

What price will Ethereum hit on March 30?
$54k Vol.
$101k Liq.
🔥$54k today
Ends in about 9 hours
$54k Vol.🔥$54k today$101k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
36%
↓ 2,000

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets
$28k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 days
$28k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 7 days
35%
81+

Elon Musk # tweets March 30 - April 1, 2026?
$341k Vol.
$99k Liq.
🔥$232k today
Ends in 2 days
$341k Vol.🔥$232k today$99k Liq.Ends in 2 days
38%
65-89

Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$536k today
Ends in 8 days
$2.8m Vol.🔥$536k today$1.2m Liq.Ends in 8 days
13%
240-259