Voter Id Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes

New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
$754 Vol.
$684 Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$754 Vol.$684 Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
1%
Yes

SAVE Act becomes law by...?
$232k Vol.
$38k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
$232k Vol.$38k Liq.4Ends in about 1 month
25%
December 31

Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?
$37k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$37k Vol.$51k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?
$26k Vol.
$80k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$26k Vol.$80k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
8%
June 30

95%
Republican Party

91%
Republican Party

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$97k Vol.
$24k Liq.
57
Ended
$97k Vol.$24k Liq.57Ended
54%
59-60%

68%
55-60%

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes

Turnout in 2026 Hungary Parliamentary Election
$84k Vol.
$43k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$84k Vol.$43k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
45%
71–74%

Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?
$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$2k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
60%
Yes

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
$15k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
$15k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 4 months
68%
Yes

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner
$28k Vol.
$65k Liq.
3
Ends in 19 days
$28k Vol.$65k Liq.3Ends in 19 days
89%
PB

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$28k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$28k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)

93%
Democratic Party

91%
Democratic Party

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Popular Vote Winner
$163k Vol.
$43k Liq.
1
Ends in 12 days
$163k Vol.$43k Liq.1Ends in 12 days
74%
Tisza

Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election
$120k Vol.
$20k Liq.
88
Ended
$120k Vol.$20k Liq.88Ended
77%
70–75%

95%
Republican Party