Politics Predictions & Odds· 1655 markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$936.4m Vol.
$36.7m Liq.
🔥$6.3m today
616
Ends in over 2 years
$936.4m Vol.🔥$6.3m today$36.7m Liq.616Ends in over 2 years
24%
Gavin Newsom
Netanyahu out by...?
$87.3m Vol.
$5.8m Liq.
🔥$5.7m today
32
Ends in 9 months
$87.3m Vol.🔥$5.7m today$5.8m Liq.32Ends in 9 months
46%
December 31
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$491.8m Vol.
$29.2m Liq.
🔥$5.7m today
322
Ends in over 2 years
$491.8m Vol.🔥$5.7m today$29.2m Liq.322Ends in over 2 years
49%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$471.4m Vol.
$30.4m Liq.
🔥$4.6m today
791
Ends in over 2 years
$471.4m Vol.🔥$4.6m today$30.4m Liq.791Ends in over 2 years
18%
JD Vance
Will Trump visit China by...?
$17.8m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
🔥$3.6m today
417
Ends in about 1 month
$17.8m Vol.🔥$3.6m today$2.4m Liq.417Ends in about 1 month
84%
June 30
Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$11.8m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$3.5m today
2
Ends in 4 days
$11.8m Vol.🔥$3.5m today$1.3m Liq.2Ends in 4 days
18%
220-239
US x Iran ceasefire by...?
$61.8m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$2.9m today
1,218
$61.8m Vol.🔥$2.9m today$1.4m Liq.1,218
74%
December 31
Elon Musk # tweets March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$8.3m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
🔥$2.2m today
Ends in 1 day
$8.3m Vol.🔥$2.2m today$1.9m Liq.Ends in 1 day
40%
200-219
Fed decision in April?
$37.5m Vol.
$4.1m Liq.
🔥$1.7m today
18
Ends in 30 days
$37.5m Vol.🔥$1.7m today$4.1m Liq.18Ends in 30 days
97%
No change
Elon Musk # tweets March 28 - March 30, 2026?
$2.0m Vol.
$232k Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
Ends in about 12 hours
$2.0m Vol.🔥$1.3m today$232k Liq.Ends in about 12 hours
81%
40-64
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
$39.1m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$1.2m today
1
Ends in 13 days
$39.1m Vol.🔥$1.2m today$1.8m Liq.1Ends in 13 days
66%
Péter Magyar
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$54.7m Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
🔥$1.2m today
2
Ends in about 20 hours
$54.7m Vol.🔥$1.2m today$1.4m Liq.2Ends in about 20 hours
1%
Yes
Next French Presidential Election
$23.1m Vol.
$3.0m Liq.
🔥$920k today
348
Ends in about 1 year
$23.1m Vol.🔥$920k today$3.0m Liq.348Ends in about 1 year
24%
Jordan Bardella
Brazil Presidential Election
$33.2m Vol.
$1.8m Liq.
🔥$725k today
3,643
Ends in 6 months
$33.2m Vol.🔥$725k today$1.8m Liq.3,643Ends in 6 months
42%
Flávio Bolsonaro
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
$8.4m Vol.
$583k Liq.
🔥$650k today
13
Ends in 2 months
$8.4m Vol.🔥$650k today$583k Liq.13Ends in 2 months
81%
Chong Won-oh
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
$5.8m Vol.
$298k Liq.
🔥$595k today
5
Ends in 8 months
$5.8m Vol.🔥$595k today$298k Liq.5Ends in 8 months
31%
3.75%
Next Prime Minister of Vietnam
$15.3m Vol.
$305k Liq.
🔥$589k today
202
Ended
$15.3m Vol.🔥$589k today$305k Liq.202Ended
96%
Lê Minh Hưng
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
$15.6m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$570k today
70
Ends in 7 months
$15.6m Vol.🔥$570k today$1.6m Liq.70Ends in 7 months
95%
Kevin Warsh
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$9.0m Vol.
$404k Liq.
🔥$569k today
196
Ends in 2 days
$9.0m Vol.🔥$569k today$404k Liq.196Ends in 2 days
46%
June 30
Who visited Epstein's Island?
$1.4m Vol.
$398k Liq.
🔥$566k today
120
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.🔥$566k today$398k Liq.120Ends in 3 months
13%
Richard Branson